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2 Jun 2016
EUR/GBP expected to gain further traction – Danske Bank
Jens Sorensen, Chief Analyst at Danske Bank, sees the European cross edging higher in the next weeks.
Key Quotes
“GBP suffered further yesterday and EUR/GBP rose to 0.7750 as Brexit concerns have reappeared in the financial markets”.
“According to our Brexit Risk premium estimates, 1.25pp is currently priced into the EUR/GBP spot rate (2 std dev. confidence interval of 0 to +2.5pp)”.
“This implies that EUR/GBP is likely to trade at 0.7550-0.7780 post the election in the event of a ‘remain’ vote. We still see risks for EUR/GBP skewed on the upside going into Election Day on 23 June”.