AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls take the high road but bears emerge from critcal H4 resistance

• AUD/USD bulls testing critical resistance within a bearish territory. 
• The bears have not thrown in the towel just yet.

The price is breaking out of the downward trend in a rising wedge formation. While this is typically regarded as a bearish continuation chart pattern, the Aussie has a habit of defying gravity when correcting the trend and a break of the current resistance would be a significant development. There is a void between there and the 0.73 figure and the price imbalance could well be mitigated. 

AUD/USD H4 charts

On the other hand, the bears are moving in and repeated failures at this resistance level would be expected to leave the ball in their court. A subsequent break of the next term support would be expected to encourage the bears back to the table and a snowball effect gathering momentum could result in a downside continuation and restest of the counter trendline:

A break of the trendline and a run on sell stops would be expected to result in supply that could push the bulls back to the edge of an abyss at 0.6950:

AUD/USD daily chart